Liquidity Transmission Analytics

Global Liquidity → Bitcoin: ARIMAX(2,0,0) · 11-Week Transmission Delay

Transmission Scatterplot

GL Change (Lag 11) vs BTC Return

Liquidity Sensitivity

Rolling Multiplier (Reference Baseline: 0.0404)

ARIMAX Historical Fit

Actual Return vs Liquidity Model Prediction

Liquidity Regimes

BTC Return Distribution by Central Bank Injection State