Liquidity Transmission Analytics

Global Liquidity Index → Bitcoin: ARIMAX(2,0,0) · 11-Week Transmission Delay

Transmission Scatterplot

GLI Change (Lag 11) vs BTC Log Return

Liquidity Sensitivity

Rolling Multiplier (Ref: 0.0404)

ARIMAX Historical Fit

Actual vs Predicted Weekly Return

Liquidity Regimes

BTC Log Return Distribution by Macro State